RC / LOADING
Research, due diligence and forecasting on the companies, technologies and markets building beyond Earth.
Every forecast is a falsifiable claim with explicit resolution criteria and a defined close policy. RC records probabilities, community consensus, revisions and final outcomes.
Neutron's first flight is the key transition from development program to operational launch system. A 2026 liftoff would validate Rocket Lab's ability to execute the remaining qualification and integration campaign within its current Q4 2026 target and would mark the company's entry into the medium-lift launch market.
Starship has demonstrated increasingly controlled atmospheric reentry, but surviving reentry is not the same as achieving rapid, low-maintenance reuse. This paper examines Starship's heat shield, the flight-test evidence through Flight 13, Shuttle-era lessons, non-TPS bottlenecks and the economics required for aircraft-like operations.
Read research →NSPM-17, signed August 20, directs federal agencies to ready U.S. ranges, airspace, reentry sites and spectrum for more than 1,000 launches and reentries a year by 2030.
T-Mobile still sells Starlink-powered satellite service. SpaceX now owns spectrum and wants mobile customers of its own. Inside an awkward partnership.
The platform is organized by industrial capability rather than conventional blog tags.
infrastructure
DOSSIER →PRIVATElaunch · space systems · lunar economy
DOSSIER →LUNRlunar economy
DOSSIER →RDWorbital economy
DOSSIER →RKLBlaunch · space systems
DOSSIER →SPXspace systems · orbital economy · infrastructure
DOSSIER →Ground systems · Data · Networks